Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 27 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caitlin Bickle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 35 | 13-25 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 25 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Queen Egbo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kate Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter