Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -11 (75-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 33 | 11-28 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 25 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 38 | 9-19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 37 | 6-22 | 1-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -2 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter