Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 32 | 7-17 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Megan Gustafson * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 9 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kate Martin | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Queen Egbo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 32 | 6-21 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 14 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter