Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kate Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 29 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter