Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 31 | 4-19 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Haley Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 35 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 36 | 6-18 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 32 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kate Martin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter