Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 16-22 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 31 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Megan Gustafson * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 38 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 34 | 10-21 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter