Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kate Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 37 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 15 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter