Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd * | 35 | 9-22 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 31 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Horston * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 11 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nika Mühl | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 35 | 9-19 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 34 | 10-19 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 20 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grace Berger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter