Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.3% | 24.7% | -6.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +8 (101-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 40 | 10-19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 28 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 39 | 8-21 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 38 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Monique Billings | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter