Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 37 | 5-17 | 2-11 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton * | 37 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 33 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Dorka Juhász * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sika Koné | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter