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2024-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Seattle Storm -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A'ja Wilson * 35 7-18 0-2 10-10 20 2 3 4 0 24 35 -
Jackie Young * 34 10-19 1-6 6-7 5 4 1 0 4 27 14 -
Chelsea Gray * 33 5-8 1-2 0-0 0 6 0 1 4 11 6 -
Kelsey Plum * 33 5-13 2-6 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 13 5 -
Kiah Stokes * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 0 9 -
Alysha Clark 28 2-9 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
Tiffany Hayes 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Kate Martin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 37 7-13 0-2 2-2 4 8 0 1 1 16 15 -
Nneka Ogwumike * 35 4-15 1-3 0-1 8 2 1 0 2 9 3 -
Ezi Magbegor * 35 5-7 0-1 0-0 10 3 0 0 2 10 14 -
Jewell Loyd * 35 8-22 2-4 10-11 3 3 1 0 4 28 9 -
Jordan Horston * 26 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
Victoria Vivians 13 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joyner Holmes 9 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Sami Whitcomb 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter