Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +19 (104-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 33 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 26 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Stephanie Soares | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 31 | 11-22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kate Martin | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter