Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (98-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 41 | 13-23 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 31 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 39 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Kate Martin | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickea Jackson * | 41 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Aari McDonald * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 10-15 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 31 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Li Yueru | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter