Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 35 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 37 | 11-20 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 23 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kate Martin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter