Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezi Magbegor * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Jewell Loyd * | 34 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 32 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Victoria Vivians * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Horston | 26 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nika Mühl | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 14 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Kate Martin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jessika Carter | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter