Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (99-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 32 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 34 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 33 | 11-23 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 32 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kate Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 30 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter