Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 39 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 34 | - |
| Kate Martin * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 27 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Brink * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rickea Jackson * | 22 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 21 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Li Yueru | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter