Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 39 | 6-18 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 36 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 35 | 12-27 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Kate Martin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 6-15 | 6-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter