Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby * | 33 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lexie Brown * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Brink * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 21 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Li Yueru | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 38 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 31 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kate Martin | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 15 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter