Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | β (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | β |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 47 | 11-28 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 47 | 13-20 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 43 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 43 | 5-23 | 5-17 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy * | 30 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Diamond DeShields | 21 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reshanda Gray | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jennie Simms | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aerial Powers * | 37 | 13-24 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damiris Dantas * | 13 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jessica Shepard | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 31 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Natalie Achonwa | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nikolina MiliΔ | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter