Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -31 (68-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Damiris Dantas * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 25 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jessica Shepard | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 20 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Megan Walker | 18 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 17 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter