Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Turner * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 32 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Megan Walker | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Zahui B * | 34 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Erica Wheeler * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kristi Toliver * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristine Anigwe | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Karlie Samuelson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Arella Guirantes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter