Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (102-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 30 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 22 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Carolyn Swords * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sugar Rodgers | 24 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 33 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 22 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter