Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamera Young * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 26 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Liz Cambage * | 24 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young * | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dearica Hamby | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Epiphanny Prince | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sugar Rodgers | 7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JiSu Park | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sydney Colson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 31 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter