Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Briann January | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 22 | 0-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 22 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marie Gülich | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maite Cazorla | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Bentley | 11 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter