Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theresa Plaisance | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Morgan Tuck | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner * | 26 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Briann January | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Asia Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Arica Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter