Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 10-22 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 24 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes | 18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristine Anigwe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Morgan Tuck | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter