Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 30 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Candice Dupree * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Teaira McCowan * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Erica Wheeler * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Natalie Achonwa | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Burke | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shenise Johnson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paris Kea | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Mavunga | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Erica McCall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 29 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 21 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter