Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 30 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Candace Parker * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 17 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alana Beard * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Riquna Williams | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alexis Jones | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marina Mabrey | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter