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2018-05-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stefanie Dolson * 31 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
Allie Quigley * 29 8-12 2-3 5-6 1 3 1 0 2 23 14 -
Diamond DeShields * 27 7-14 1-3 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 19 10 -
Gabby Williams * 21 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
Chelsea Hopkins * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
Jamierra Faulkner 33 6-14 2-5 0-0 0 9 0 0 4 14 5 -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 23 3-6 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 0 8 12 -
Kahleah Copper 22 5-11 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 12 8 -
Alaina Coates 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 2 7 -
Alex Montgomery 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Linnae Harper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 41 10-22 1-7 7-10 6 5 1 1 2 28 17 -
Jewell Loyd * 37 8-21 4-9 9-9 8 3 3 0 1 29 21 -
Sue Bird * 33 1-6 0-1 3-3 0 9 1 0 1 5 8 -
Natasha Howard * 32 8-12 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 4 0 16 22 -
Alysha Clark * 21 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Jordin Canada 26 4-9 0-1 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 10 5 -
Crystal Langhorne 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Courtney Paris 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Sami Whitcomb 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Teana Muldrow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter