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2017-08-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray * 36 3-11 0-4 6-6 8 4 1 0 0 12 14 -
Nneka Ogwumike * 35 7-15 1-3 6-6 7 1 2 1 1 21 16 -
Odyssey Sims * 33 4-11 0-2 6-6 3 0 1 0 5 14 2 -
Candace Parker * 32 7-15 1-5 6-6 9 2 4 1 5 21 17 -
Alana Beard * 27 2-3 0-0 1-3 0 2 2 0 3 5 3 -
Jantel Lavender 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Sydney Wiese 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
Tiffany Jackson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Riquna Williams 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glory Johnson * 34 9-15 2-3 3-4 13 1 1 0 1 23 22 -
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 33 5-15 0-3 4-4 5 3 1 1 2 14 7 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly * 32 5-9 0-1 7-8 5 1 1 0 1 17 14 -
Allisha Gray * 20 2-13 0-3 2-2 6 3 2 2 2 6 4 -
Courtney Paris * 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
Aerial Powers 23 4-12 1-4 3-3 4 3 0 0 1 12 6 -
Theresa Plaisance 22 3-8 1-1 0-0 7 1 1 1 3 7 6 -
Kayla Thornton 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Kaela Davis 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter