Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -12 (73-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 30 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 29 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 24 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter