Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Briana Butler * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Charde Houston | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chelsea Poppens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter