Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (31.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -31 (55-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 21 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 31 | 9-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Briana Butler * | 28 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dymond Simon | 25 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
* = starter