Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -19 (62-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Amber Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter