๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Margin 82.2% 17.8% -8.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm -13 (73-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rebekkah Brunson * 33 10-14 0-0 0-0 14 3 0 0 1 20 22 -
Maya Moore * 31 6-11 4-5 4-6 8 7 1 0 1 20 24 -
Seimone Augustus * 30 9-17 4-6 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 22 11 -
Lindsay Whalen * 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 9 2 0 1 5 14 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 24 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 -
Monica Wright 22 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 15 6 -
Candice Wiggins 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 1 -
Devereaux Peters 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Amber Harris 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Erin Thorn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Camille Smith * 35 7-11 0-1 6-8 5 3 2 1 3 20 17 -
Tanisha Wright * 33 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 11 9 -
Sue Bird * 31 7-12 1-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 17 12 -
Ewelina Kobryn * 17 2-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Katie Smith * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Shekinna Stricklen 22 2-10 0-3 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Alysha Clark 22 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 19 1-8 0-2 3-4 3 3 3 0 3 5 3 -

* = starter