Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 27 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 15 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Pedersen * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 23 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 16 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jene Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter