Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 16 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 36 | 14-22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 20 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 32 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chanel Mokango | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter