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2010-07-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - โœ—
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 โœ— (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—

Actual: Connecticut Sun -9 (80-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 36 8-13 4-7 0-0 4 7 2 2 1 20 21 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 33 5-9 0-1 7-10 7 7 4 0 1 17 25 -
Tina Thompson * 31 4-11 2-6 1-1 4 3 0 0 2 11 5 -
Noelle Quinn * 24 4-7 3-4 3-4 7 2 1 0 2 14 15 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 20 3-10 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 8 3 -
Kristi Toliver 30 5-12 4-8 1-2 2 3 0 1 0 15 9 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
Andrea Riley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Chanel Mokango 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Asjha Jones * 26 5-13 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 3 10 5 -
Tan White * 25 4-10 3-6 2-3 6 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
Tina Charles * 24 4-11 0-0 1-1 9 0 0 1 3 9 5 -
Kelsey Griffin * 23 2-4 2-3 4-4 7 1 0 1 1 10 14 -
Kara Lawson * 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 2 2 -
Renee Montgomery 27 4-13 3-11 3-3 2 3 0 0 2 14 4 -
Sandrine Gruda 23 4-10 0-0 4-4 4 3 2 0 1 12 10 -
DeMya Walker 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
Allison Hightower 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
Kerri Gardin 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter