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2010-07-18

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Thompson * 36 6-16 3-9 8-8 8 3 1 0 4 23 15 -
Noelle Quinn * 33 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 6 2 1 3 4 11 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 32 6-10 0-2 3-3 6 1 2 0 8 15 6 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 26 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 6 3 0 2 4 10 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 22 3-7 0-1 5-6 4 1 0 1 0 11 10 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 28 6-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 12 5 -
Kristi Toliver 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
Andrea Riley 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 34 7-15 3-9 4-4 2 7 1 0 5 21 11 -
Roneeka Hodges * 30 9-14 6-10 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 24 13 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 27 3-7 0-1 2-2 3 2 4 1 1 8 10 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 22 6-11 1-1 4-4 2 1 2 0 1 17 10 -
Michelle Snow * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 3 -
Crystal Kelly 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Helen Darling 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 0 2 -

* = starter