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2010-07-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ— (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -7 (51-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 33 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 4 2 1 4 3 4 -
Tamika Catchings * 32 7-13 2-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 3 16 8 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 2 3 8 13 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 25 3-8 2-7 5-6 3 1 2 0 1 13 10 -
Ebony Hoffman * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 2 2 -
Shavonte Zellous 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Briann January 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 0 5 -
Jessica Moore 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Jessica Davenport 10 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
Shay Murphy 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles * 35 9-22 0-0 8-8 18 0 2 2 5 26 21 -
Dominique Canty * 29 0-6 0-0 7-8 5 2 0 0 2 7 6 -
Mistie Bass * 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 3 4 3 -
Jia Perkins * 26 1-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Tamera Young * 18 1-4 1-2 0-2 0 0 2 0 2 3 -1 -
Erin Thorn 25 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
Epiphanny Prince 20 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 4 1 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter