Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel McCarville * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 18 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Essence Carson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 31 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter