Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Briann January | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jene Morris | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chasity Melvin | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter