Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tan White | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Essence Carson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter