Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noelle Quinn * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 30 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chanel Mokango | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 31 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 9-18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 31 | 7-22 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Alison Bales | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter