Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jene Morris | 18 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Briann January | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 7-12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 37 | 9-11 | 4-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alison Lacey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter