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2010-06-25

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Margin 84.5% 15.5% -9.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings -14 (78-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 32 3-8 0-0 2-2 11 6 1 2 4 8 16 -
Leilani Mitchell * 31 6-9 6-8 2-2 3 3 3 0 2 20 18 -
Janel McCarville * 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 3 10 11 -
Nicole Powell * 28 6-11 4-8 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 16 10 -
Cappie Pondexter * 27 5-12 3-4 2-2 1 4 0 1 2 15 7 -
Plenette Pierson 14 3-5 0-0 5-6 2 0 1 1 2 11 8 -
Kalana Greene 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 2 -
Essence Carson 9 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Sidney Spencer 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Kia Vaughn 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Nikki Blue 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alexis Hornbuckle * 29 3-10 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 3 2 6 6 -
Scholanda Dorrell * 28 5-14 1-2 3-3 5 3 3 0 2 14 9 -
Kiesha Brown * 25 5-9 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 12 0 -
Chante Black * 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
Kara Braxton * 16 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 1 5 7 4 -
Jennifer Lacy 22 5-14 2-3 4-5 5 1 3 0 2 16 9 -
Amber Holt 20 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 6 2 -
Natasha Lacy 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Marion Jones 14 2-4 0-0 4-7 3 1 1 2 1 8 10 -
Tiffany Jackson 8 1-2 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter