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2010-06-20

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ“ (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +21 (82-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 34 4-14 2-7 2-2 2 5 1 0 5 12 1 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 33 3-12 0-3 2-4 5 3 0 0 1 8 3 -
Chamique Holdsclaw * 32 5-13 0-0 2-3 9 1 0 2 4 12 7 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade * 26 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 8 10 -
Michelle Snow * 20 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 8 5 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 15 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 7 7 -
Megan Frazee 12 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Roneeka Hodges 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Helen Darling 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Allie Quigley 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 32 8-16 2-3 4-4 9 2 2 0 4 22 15 -
Lauren Jackson * 29 7-14 1-4 4-5 14 1 2 1 0 19 23 -
Camille Smith * 28 7-12 1-1 2-2 9 4 2 2 4 17 18 -
Tanisha Wright * 27 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 6 3 1 3 4 10 -
Sue Bird * 22 0-7 0-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 -6 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 26 4-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
Le'coe Willingham 17 4-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Alison Lacey 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jana Vesela 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ashley Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Abby Bishop 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter