Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 36 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 22 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alison Bales | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Coco Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 22 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Briann January | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter