Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 30 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 38 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter